Baldur's Gate IV is probably just to forget 🇸🇪
It took almost ten years from the first faltering steps until Baldur's Gate III was released last year. So the journey was long, but most people probably agree that it was worth the effort.
Now that it's clear that Larian is dropping out of everything Dungeons & Dragon-related (which includes Baldur's Gate), it's not without me thinking about what will happen with the sequel. If it took nine years to get the third one so good, it will probably take over nine years for the sequel (game development tends to take longer and longer).
But we can hope for an equivalent level of ambition in 2033 approximately. But can't you develop faster than that then, a lot has already been done? Yes, but since Larian is no longer around, it is new people who will try to interpret their heritage and understand why they did what they did.
That alone will be a completely massive project. After all, no one wants to risk developing a game for ten years and then getting a flop on their neck. But I also don't think that Hasbro executives have the same patience again. Now they know how well the series can sell and probably want more of the good stuff in quick - and you can suspect that they also want to get in some microtransactions and other things.
In short, I think there is an imminent risk that Baldur's Gate III will be a completely unique one-off we will never see the likes of again. There is simply too much that needs to come together.
It takes a new developer with the same talent as Larian, a publisher willing to pay a large team a full salary for ten years (with no guaranteed profit), managers who don't want to speed up the work with shortcuts, managers who don't want to poke in at least a little live service fashion, and more.
In short, enjoy Baldur's Gate III as much as you can. We will get to play more good role-playing games in the future, but I don't believe that there would be a Baldur's Gate IV that lives up to the third game.
... and for anyone who thinks that "Larian might say yes again later on", it means that part four will be released anyway much later because they will now be investing in other things for a number of years to come.

A Baldur's Gate IV that matches the third place I don't think we will ever experience - but I hope I'm wrong.



